P
PitchBites
simulation1 min readLesson 7.11

Scenario analysis (best/base/worst)

Finance — Read the Numbers · 25 min

Scenario analysis tests your financial model under different conditions: Best Case, Base Case, and Worst Case. It shows investors you've thought about risks and have contingency plans. Each scenario should change 3-5 key assumptions.

Key Takeaways

  • Always present 3 scenarios: Best, Base, Worst.
  • Change 3-5 key assumptions per scenario, not everything.
  • Worst case should still show a viable path (or explain the pivot).
  • Investors want to see you've stress-tested your model.